Macroeconomics

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Is China’s economy facing Japanification?

April 17, 2025

    As China’s economy sputters, investors are asking whether the country could repeat Japan’s experience in the 1990s. Goldman Sachs Research finds that even though there are some key similarities between the two situations, China’s “Japanification” is far from certain. While deteriorating demographics, a debt overhang, and an asset-bubble-burst were all important ingredients to Japan’s malaise at the turn of the century, a key contributor to its Japanification was a…

India’s affluent population is likely to hit 100 million by 2027

April 17, 2025

    India’s real GDP is expected to grow at more than 6% every year between 2023 and 2028, according to Goldman Sachs Research. In tandem, the wealth of affluent Indians is rapidly growing as well. By 2027, according to a report titled “The rise of ‘Affluent India’” by Goldman Sachs Research, this cohort of affluent consumers will increase from around 60 million in 2023 to 100 million people…

How to help boost the UK economy with a boom in high-productivity businesses

April 17, 2025

    The UK’s 5.5 million small- and medium-size enterprises (SMEs) could be an answer to revving up the UK economy and reversing more than a decade of stalled productivity. A survey of UK small business owners who participated in the Goldman Sachs 10,000 Small Businesses (10KSB) program helps to lay out their views and asks on government policies, such as upskilling the workforce, which could improve worker efficiency and unlock…

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